Sir Derf
Adept
Wow, this is a lot harder to theorize general techniques, especially with obstacles included, and without any data to estimate the frequency of chest and cat occurrences, coming up with a theoretical optimal purchase and play strategy, let alone expected cost-to-prizes obtained ratio sounds nigh-impossible.
This might only be describable with user experienced observations, providing a spread of observed long-term outcomes, with the randomness, personal preferences, and possibly wildly-varying techniques all baked in and inseparable.
With earlier events, we could give good predictions on likely outcomes, and the standard deviations, so could get a feel for if a particular outcome was more or less than expected average, and by how much. Now, who knows...
This might only be describable with user experienced observations, providing a spread of observed long-term outcomes, with the randomness, personal preferences, and possibly wildly-varying techniques all baked in and inseparable.
With earlier events, we could give good predictions on likely outcomes, and the standard deviations, so could get a feel for if a particular outcome was more or less than expected average, and by how much. Now, who knows...