in Beta I am in ch.18 and I get seeds from the set. If this set will not give in ch.19 Unurium instead of seeds, then I am not interested on it whatsoever. I definitely do not need more T3.
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So far, not. And I must say that is a bit puzzling; I was expecting more Tomes with artifact choices like what they did with Witch Hut / Summoning Circle. The only Tomes this time have a choice of KP and Supply and Coin Instants.
But we have not seen more than 20 prizes yet - and they may still change the version that goes to Live.
I am of a similar mindset Jackluyt. For me, it's a game. Experience and observation and even a gut-feeling usually provide more fun and enjoyment, despite the occasional error and mistake. But that's just me. There's something to be said for the leap-of-faithI am not particularly interested in ‘mathematical play’....
As a goal for Dialies, on a head-to-head basis, 48 chest is better than 23 chest. On equal footings, in the long run, on average, take the 48 chest over the 23 chest. But Elvenar events are finite, and my gut is starting to wonder if there may be some second-level, higher-order mathematically-supported strategy that can be employed, especially when you get to the end of the event and you are running low on currency.
I'm pondering something like this. Suppose you are down to your final 100 SK, and are being offered to choose between the 3 crappiest chests for Dailies, 48, 23 and 58. By the table, 48 is your best choice, giving you a straight 13% chance of the Daily. But, it will leave you with 52 SK, and could prevent you from choosing the 60 chest with it's 19% chance at Daily and 9% chance at 120 more SK if it comes up next round? Is it better to take the 23 chest in this scenario?
I have a feeling that there is a mathematically derivable sliding adjustment that will give added benefit to lower-cost chests and higher benefit to higher-cost chests as your amount of SK decreases. I will need to ponder and work some more math on this.
First, you are comparing a price 100 SK 10% Daily chest with an overall expected cost of about 1000 SK/Daily to a price 10 SK 0.99% Daily chest with an overall expected cost of about 1010 SK/Daily, the difference between the two is really small. The two are so close that there is almost no difference between the two, so it's not really a dramatic difference.
Second, if you are making this decision on the hope that in your next offering you will receive a better offer, say a price 150 SK chance 21% Daily with an overall expected cost of 714 SK/Daily, I will point out that you have the same odds (33% in an Elvenar 3 of 9 chest offering) regardless of which chest you pick. Under most circumstances, it is an unfair comparison to decide between better expensive chest now vs. worse cheap chest with the chance of a better chest next; rather you should be deciding between better chest now with the chance of a better chest next vs. worse chest now with a chance at better chest next, which boils down to simply better now vs. worse now. Only when you are low on SK and the choice of the cost chests now has an influence on whether you could accept a better chest next if it comes up does it start to matter.
Once I hit the dailies I do not care about any list. All daily quests are asking for stuff doable during the regular daily play.I have a spreadsheet that I use to prepare and countdown the quests.
No point in preparing for quest 60 (for example) if you have to wait as it is part of the daily quests.