The realization I also had in another thread is that the mathematical analysis of best chest is not being worked out correctly for an Elvenar Event.

The current computations are based on the relative odds for a single round, or for a game with an infinite supply of SK. Elvenar Events are a series of multiple rounds ultimately constrained by finite SK.

As a goal for Dialies, on a head-to-head basis, 48 chest is better than 23 chest. On equal footings, in the long run, on average, take the 48 chest over the 23 chest. But Elvenar events are finite, and it appears there is a second-level, higher-order mathematically-supported strategy that can be employed.

As such, the opportunity cost of costlier chests need to be taken into account; that is, the potential benefit of taking a "worse odds" lower cost chest now, saving SK towards opening additional chests at the end of the event.

A proper mathematical assessment needs to be done separately for every set of three offered chests, assessing all three chests as if they cost the value of the most expensive chest of the set, and including guaranteed savings of SK as part of the rewards. For example, when presented with the triple-loser 48, 23 and 58, the 48 should be based on costing 58 but paying off 10 SK + 13% Daily, the 23 on costing 58 but paying off 35 SK, 5% Daily and 12% 30 SK, and the 58 on costing 58 but paying off 12% Daily and 13% 80 SK.